Numbers say Whobegotyou’s the one

Numbers say Whobegotyou’s the one

WEIGHTS and measures, once the doctrine by which successful horse players operated, will be put to the test by Whobegotyou in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick today.
Nanjing Night Net

These days, alas, horses are less educated to mathematics, and the rule doesn’t get the same results.

Only a week ago, Whobegotyou was beaten a length when third to Vision And Power, his major rival again, and even Racing NSW chief steward Ray Murrihy maintained it was a "tragedy" to see him beaten. The Melbourne three-year-old just couldn’t get clear running in the long Randwick straight.

Even if Whobegotyou had every chance, the weight-for-age conditions swing the balance well in his favour over Vision And Power because he meets him six kilos better.

Maybe Whobegotyou isn’t the best-placed horse on the Randwick program either as another Victorian invader, Ortensia, looks an old-fashioned bank teller’s dream – they had easy access to a short-term loan that could be parlayed into a result with seemingly little risk – in the James HB Carr Stakes. Ortensia basically clashes with the same opposition, with the exception of Yesterday, which she beat comfortably last start and on superior terms.

Whobegotyou has a more demanding assignment. Apart from Vision And Power, which now holds two decisions over him, Whobegotyou will strike opposition from the proven wfa horse Pompeii Ruler and a bevy of his age group, including AJC Australian Derby winner Roman Emperor, which will have the benefit of Jim Cassidy aboard. Still Roman Emperor, Metal Bender, Sousa and Predatory Pricer, the unluckiest runner in the AJC Derby, are coming back from the 2400 metres to the 2000m. Maybe Sousa, best leading, will improve if ridden more aggressively.

The anticipated slow ground is another query regarding Whobegotyou, considering his 4.2-length ninth to Vision And Power in the George Ryder Stakes over the Rosehill 1500m on the heavy two starts back. Murrihy, however, has no doubt that the casing used to keep the three-year-old’s shoes in place filled with mud that day and played a role in the finishing position. The substance is now barred.

Beware of another axiom relating to Vision And Power: the more they win, the better the price.

VERDICT: Whobegotyou in the Queen Elizabeth. Try Ortensia and Yesterday in a quinella for the first. The great uncertainty of racing played havoc with bank tellers. For the quadrella, start with Whobegotyou and Vision And Power.

BART’S BEST: Tried-and-tested two-mile trainers litter the honour roll for the Sydney Cup, and while Bart Cummings hasn’t won the Randwick staying test since Trissaro (1984), he has a certain notoriety in the category. Possibly his candidate, Dandaad, is dour more than brilliant but he will prove hard to beat. "I would say this is a horse whose preparation has been timed to the minute," Craig Tompson, Racenet’s Randwick clocker, reported. Dandaad was responsible for an excellent Sydney Cup trial when a 2.1-length sixth to Divine Rebel after being wide throughout. Fiumicino, under Darren Beadman, returned to his best in taking The BMW at Rosehill on a very heavy track, and Jim Cassidy will be out to prove anything Beadman can do, he can do better. Some good judges are querying The BMW form. Fiumicino beat a non-stayer, Theseo, with Viewed third. Mr Tipsy was fifth behind them, and is not a wfa horse but a two-miler, a point he will be out to confirm today. Tangalooma, prepared by Kim Waugh, appeals as the best outsider. Waugh captured the Sydney Cup with Mahtoum in 2005, and Tangalooma was downed only three lengths in the Chairman’s, a strong pointer for a $35 chance today.

VERDICT: Dandaad to win but also take Mr Tipsy and Tangalooma in the quaddie.

HOT STUFF: All Silent, Solo Flyer or Hot Danish? Which will back up best from the Doncaster in the All Aged Stakes today? Yes, All Silent, beaten three lengths in the Doncaster, has won on consecutive Saturdays, at Flemington in the spring, but it was part of the master plan. Solo Flyer went down by only 1.8 lengths last Saturday, and will be suited by the 1400m. Also the gelding has had only four races this campaign so he should still be primed. Hot Danish was 3.2 lengths astern of the winner in the metric mile; at her best, she would be too good but has the mare had enough this campaign? Racing To Win, winner of the All Aged last year, will be improved by two runs back but just didn’t do enough last Saturday in the T.J. Smith. Under the circumstances, it’s open and Gai Waterhouse, with four previous All Aged successes, could again figure with Royal Discretion.

VERDICT: Hot Danish is hopefully still on the boil so take her, Solo Flyer and All Silent in the quaddie.

STAR TURN: The improvement factor promises to kick in for Starring To Win in the Kokoda Handicap, a minor event on an excellent program but major for quadrella and Big6 players. Starring To Win rises in class but still looked above herself in condition when taking a one-metropolitan-win sprint over the Canterbury 1200m on April 8. Obviously, the Melbourne speedster Zedi Knight will be backed with five wins from six attempts down south. On face value, Without Compromise’s last-start Randwick triumph resuming after a break was very good indeed but the strength of the race is suspect.

VERDICT: Starring To Win on top but also Zedi Knight for the quaddie. For the first two legs of the BIG6: (race 3) Pravana and Visit The Queen. (Race 4) Tickets and Onemorenomore.